GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Central Espanol are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Nacional

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

14.6%

Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club NacionalWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Central EspanolWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Club NacionalCentral Espanol
50.7Attack40.6
55.1Defence62.3
50.7Form52.2
53.4Power53.4
1.23xG1.00
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