Club Leon U21vs
Juarez U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Leon U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Leon U21 1-0 Juarez U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Leon U21 1-0 Juarez U21
Original prediction
Club Leon U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.1% | 53.8% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 27.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.6% | 19.0% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
Club Leon U21 1–0 Juarez U21
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Club Leon U21
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Club Leon U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00