Club Leon U21vs
Club America U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Leon U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Leon U21 1-0 Club America U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Leon U21 1-1 Club America U21
Original prediction
Club Leon U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.2% | 50.5% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.7% | 26.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.0% | 22.9% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Projected Score
Club Leon U21 1–0 Club America U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Club Leon U21
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Club Leon U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40