GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniLLWWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo LuquenoDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Club GuaraniSportivo Luqueno
48.1Attack19.0
63.0Defence47.6
55.6Form19.0
56.9Power31.9
1.66xG0.58
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