Club Guaranivs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Guarani 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Guarani 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 40.0% | 35.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.8% | 30.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 30.2% | 34.2% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.11 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Club Guarani 0–0 Sportivo Ameliano
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.1%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00