GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniDWDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional PotosíLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club GuaraniNacional Potosí
48.1Attack38.1
63.0Defence38.1
55.6Form47.6
56.9Power42.5
1.80xG0.80
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