Club Guaranivs
Nacional Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Guarani 0-0 Nacional Asuncion, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Guarani 0-2 Nacional Asuncion
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.4% | 28.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.6% | 33.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.0% | 38.3% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Club Guarani 0–0 Nacional Asuncion
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80