GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 7/28/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional AsuncionWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniNacional Asuncion
33.3Attack41.7
75.0Defence66.7
58.3Form41.7
58.8Power51.6
1.09xG0.88
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