GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 7/16/2023, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniWWDWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Libertad AsuncionWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
33.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence66.7
58.3Form75.0
58.8Power70.5
1.03xG1.15
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