GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club Guarani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventud hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

14.8%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudLDDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniJuventud
16.7Attack44.4
66.7Defence55.6
16.7Form44.4
36.5Power51.1
1.10xG1.09
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