Club Guaranivs
Independiente
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/22/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80