GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/22/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniIndependiente
48.1Attack70.8
63.0Defence66.7
55.6Form54.2
56.9Power60.4
1.08xG1.36
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