GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/29/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Huracan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniDWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HuracanDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Club GuaraniHuracan
48.1Attack38.9
63.0Defence55.6
55.6Form27.8
56.9Power41.6
1.43xG0.81
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