Club Guaranivs
Deportivo Recoleta
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Guarani 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta
Original prediction
Club Guarani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.8% | 51.7% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 25.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.9% | 23.3% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Club Guarani
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40