Club Guaranivs
Danubio
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/19/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Club Guarani are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Danubio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Guarani
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80