Club Guaranivs
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Guarani 1-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Guarani 1-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Club Guarani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.5% | 68.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.4% | 22.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.49 | 14.1% | 8.6% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Club Guarani 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Club Guarani
Probability
68.9%
Model confidence
68.9%
Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40