Club Guaranivs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Guarani 0-0 Cerro Porteno, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Guarani 1-1 Cerro Porteno
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.5% | 34.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.3% | 31.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.2% | 33.8% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Club Guarani 0–0 Cerro Porteno
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Club GuaraniWDDDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Cerro PortenoWWDWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniCerro Porteno
37.0Attack44.4
70.4Defence66.7
48.1Form48.1
54.3Power54.2
0.84xG0.76