GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/28/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boston River are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniLDWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boston RiverLDLLW

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniBoston River
48.1Attack28.6
63.0Defence42.9
55.6Form28.6
56.9Power36.8
1.74xG0.65
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