GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Club Guarani are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while 2 de Mayo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 41.5-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club GuaraniDWWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
2 de MayoDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Club Guarani2 de Mayo
48.1Attack0.0
63.0Defence33.3
55.6Form0.0
56.9Power15.3
1.61xG0.77
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