Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Home
L
10
Full time
Sport Boys

Sport Boys

Away
W
Estadio Los Chankas
GoalVio prediction
35% confidence
Draw(35%)
Win probability
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
32%
Draw
35%
Sport Boys
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
34
Sport Boys
34
Defence
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
6
Sport Boys
91
Momentum
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
Sport Boys
100
Danger (xG)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0.90
Sport Boys
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.35 xG for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 1.21 xG for Sport Boys. Sport Boys's projected xG of 1.21 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.56 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Club Deportivo Los Chankas's Defensive Stability (6) and Sport Boys's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Club Deportivo Los Chankas)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sport Boys)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Club Deportivo Los Chankas)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Sport Boys)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas
L
Sport BoysSport Boys
WWD

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Club Deportivo Los Chankas32%
Draw35%
Sport Boys33%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Club Deportivo Los Chankas take on Sport Boys in Primera División.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Club Deportivo Los Chankas's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 52% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won 3 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Sport Boys have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Club Deportivo Los Chankas carry the stronger underlying metrics, Sport Boys's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Club Deportivo Los Chankas hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Club Deportivo Los Chankas, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Sport Boys score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Sport Boys are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.15 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.

Recent form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

L
@ Sport Huancayo
11 Jul 2026
13
Sport Boys

Sport Boys

W
vs Comerciantes
11 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Cusco
17 May 2026
10
D
vs Universitario
12 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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