Peru · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Deportivo Los Chankas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-4 Juan Pablo II College
Original prediction
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.6% | 59.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 20.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.7% | 20.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00