Club Deportivo Los Chankasvs
FC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Deportivo Los Chankas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-2 FC Cajamarca
Original prediction
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.0% | 23.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 24.0% | 29.1% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00