Club Brugge KVvs
Genk
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Brugge KV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Brugge KV 3-0 Genk
Original prediction
Club Brugge KV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 59.6% | 55.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.5% | 22.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Club Brugge KV
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Club Brugge KV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40