Club Atlético Güemesvs
Midland
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Atlético Güemes 0-1 Midland, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atlético Güemes 0-2 Midland
Original prediction
Midland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 30.0% | 18.2% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.5% | 28.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.5% | 52.9% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Projected Score
Club Atlético Güemes 0–1 Midland
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Club Atlético GüemesLLDDD
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Club Atlético GüemesMidland
26.4Attack36.8
43.7Defence71.3
26.4Form50.6
35.5Power54.7
0.47xG1.22