Club Atlético Güemesvs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia Y Tiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Atlético Güemes 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atlético Güemes 1-3 Gimnasia Y Tiro
Original prediction
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.2% | 21.7% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.4% | 30.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.5% | 47.6% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Gimnasia Y Tiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60