Club Atlético Güemesvs
Colegiales
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colegiales · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Atlético Güemes 0-0 Colegiales, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atlético Güemes 0-1 Colegiales
Original prediction
Colegiales
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.7% | 19.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.2% | 30.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 42.1% | 50.2% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Projected Score
Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 Colegiales
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Colegiales
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Colegiales has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20