GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Club Atlético Güemes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chacarita Juniors are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chacarita Juniors hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Atlético GüemesLLWWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chacarita JuniorsWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Club Atlético GüemesChacarita Juniors
29.2Attack25.0
40.3Defence63.9
27.8Form36.1
35.8Power43.9
0.67xG0.85
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