GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Club Atlético Güemes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlanta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlanta hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Primera Nacional, while Atlanta holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlanta

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Atlanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Atlético GüemesDLWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AtlantaWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club Atlético GüemesAtlanta
29.2Attack41.7
40.3Defence65.3
27.8Form54.2
35.8Power55.5
0.62xG1.47
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