Club Atlético Güemesvs
Almagro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almagro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Atlético Güemes 0-0 Almagro, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 Almagro
Original prediction
Almagro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.81 | 13.4% | 19.4% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.3% | 29.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 61.3% | 50.8% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Projected Score
Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 Almagro
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Almagro
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Almagro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60