Club Atletico Barinasvs
Yaracuyanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atletico Barinas 1-0 Yaracuyanos FC
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.1% | 29.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 26.8% | 24.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.1% | 46.7% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60