Club Atletico Barinasvs
Real Frontera
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Atletico Barinas · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atletico Barinas 3-0 Real Frontera
Original prediction
Club Atletico Barinas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.4% | 68.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.44 | 16.4% | 18.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 8.74 | 10.2% | 13.5% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Club Atletico Barinas
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Club Atletico Barinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20