Club Atletico Barinasvs
Puerto Cabello II
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Atletico Barinas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atletico Barinas 3-2 Puerto Cabello II
Original prediction
Club Atletico Barinas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.0% | 40.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.5% | 22.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.6% | 36.7% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Club Atletico Barinas
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Club Atletico Barinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00