Club Atletico Barinasvs
Atletico el Vigia FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 9/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Atletico Barinas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Atletico Barinas 5-2 Atletico el Vigia FC
Original prediction
Club Atletico Barinas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.7% | 51.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Club Atletico Barinas
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Club Atletico Barinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80