Club Americavs
Puebla
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/30/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America 2-0 Puebla
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 65.2% | 54.7% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.7% | 23.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 6.62 | 14.1% | 22.0% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00