Club Americavs
Puebla
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club America are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Puebla are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Club America hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Liga MX, while Club America holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
13.3%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80