Club Americavs
Monterrey
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 9/3/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America 2-2 Monterrey
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 42.2% | 46.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.9% | 25.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 30.0% | 27.6% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60