Club Americavs
Monterrey
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/11/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America 1-1 Monterrey
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.9% | 53.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.5% | 23.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 24.5% | 22.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40