Club Americavs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/27/2026, 2:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America 2-0 Columbus Crew
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.9% | 45.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.9% | 25.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 20.2% | 29.0% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00