Club Americavs
CF Pachuca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/26/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America 1-2 CF Pachuca
Original prediction
Club America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 58.3% | 50.3% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.8% | 25.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 18.9% | 24.2% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Club America
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00