Club America U21vs
Monterrey U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America U21 3-0 Monterrey U21
Original prediction
Monterrey U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.8% | 36.0% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 26.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.1% | 37.1% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey U21
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Monterrey U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00