Club America U21vs
Guadalajara Chivas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club America U21 1-2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Original prediction
Club America U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.7% | 41.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.6% | 28.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.7% | 30.3% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Club America U21
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Club America U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00