Club Africainvs
ES Zarzis
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Africain · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Africain 1-0 ES Zarzis, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Africain 1-0 ES Zarzis
Original prediction
Club Africain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.1% | 47.7% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 29.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 6.82 | 13.2% | 23.1% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Projected Score
Club Africain 1–0 ES Zarzis
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Club Africain
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Club Africain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Club AfricainWWDWW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ES ZarzisLLWWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club AfricainES Zarzis
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence55.6
100.0Form33.3
83.3Power43.7
1.17xG0.68