Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Clodiense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40