Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Clodiense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80