Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Clodiense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80