Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Clodiense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alcione are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60