Cliftonville FCvs
Portadown
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cliftonville FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cliftonville FC 3-1 Portadown
Original prediction
Cliftonville FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.3% | 54.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 24.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.3% | 21.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Cliftonville FC
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Cliftonville FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60