Cliftonville FCvs
Dungannon Swifts
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cliftonville FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cliftonville FC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts
Original prediction
Cliftonville FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.7% | 43.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.5% | 27.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.8% | 29.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Cliftonville FC
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Cliftonville FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80