Cliftonville FCvs
Ballymena United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cliftonville FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cliftonville FC 0-1 Ballymena United
Original prediction
Cliftonville FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.3% | 39.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 27.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.3% | 32.5% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cliftonville FC
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Cliftonville FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40