Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CélesteDLDLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
New JackDDLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CélesteNew Jack
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.06xG0.95