GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Clermont Foot 0-0 Sochaux

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5836.1%35.6%-0.5 pts
Draw3.1129.9%29.9%0.0 pts
Away2.7533.9%34.5%0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.11 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.9%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clermont FootDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SochauxWDLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Clermont FootSochaux
22.2Attack11.1
55.6Defence66.7
22.2Form44.4
36.4Power43.8
1.03xG1.00
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