Clermont Footvs
Guingamp
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Clermont Foot 0-2 Guingamp
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 31.2% | 35.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.3% | 30.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.5% | 34.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Clermont FootDLLDD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GuingampLLWLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Clermont FootGuingamp
33.3Attack40.7
55.6Defence44.4
25.9Form29.6
41.3Power41.2
1.21xG1.01